Foxes, Hedgehogs, and the Allure of Binary Thinking

I’ve been a fan of Philip Tetlock’s work since coming across it in grad school. Providing compelling experimental evidence in support of the work of Kahneman and Tversky (also huge fan). Providing empirical data on what overconfidence bias looks like. Investigating ways to keep a variety of cognitive biases in check. This work is illuminating, fascinati…